At last, the Congress Party and the Government have decided that they will hold Elections either during the Budget Session or immediately after the completion of the Budget Session. The economic condition is rapidly deteriorating. That is why this decision has been taken. It has also been decided that a harsh Budget should be introduced. As many means through which the common people would be in trouble, those means should be introduced. The coming Budget will be against every assurance and faith enunciated in the Constitution of India. Our Constitution envisages a human welfare state and promises to protect the ‘roti-paani’ ( food and water),’jaan-maal’ (life and property) and prestige of every citizen living in Hindustan.
Whether in a natural disaster or in a man-made disaster, the Government will stand by the public, this is said in the Constitution. The Constitution also says that in ordinary circumstances or in extraordinary circumstances, the interests of a citizen should be the main priority. But the coming Budget is going to turn into an extreme consequence of the pro-market strategies which started in 1991. After 1991, without changing the Constitution, every Government has played with the ‘atman’, the soul of the Constitution and Hindustan instead of being a human welfare state started to get a pro-market Government. Subsidies will largely end in this Budget. Taxes will increase. Market control principles will be adopted. After this, if the Congress loses, then the coming Government will bear the losses, the present policy makers believe this.
In 2009, the Congress Party contested the elections without any heart and they contested the elections believing that the economic condition is very bad and the coming Government will bear the brunt. But due to the great cleverness of the Bharatiya Janata Party, the Congress won the elections very easily. The tenure of the United Progressive Alliance (UPA)-2 started, which created records in a series of scams.
Now again the same decision has been taken that we should hold elections as fast as we can and whichever Government comes should be left to face all the problems. One of the estimates of the strategists of the Congress Party is that the Government will be formed by non-Congress Parties and that Government should be made to run for a year and after that elections should be held again, in which the Congress will get a full majority. The final decision has been taken on this strategy.
Expectations have now increased that the coming elections, which were scheduled in 2014, will now be held between April 2013 and June 2013. The coming elections will not be just elections. They will be the minimisation of many political parties and the defeat of many personalities. The Congress will contest this election by depending on Priyanka Gandhi and they will try to make the leadership of Priyanka Gandhi stronger, even if it means losing the elections. Presenting Priyanka Gandhi as a future leader, as the candidate for the Prime Minister’s post is also the main thrust of the upcoming strategy of the Congress. Sonia Gandhi still wants to make Rahul Gandhi the Prime Minister. She believes that Manmohan Singh is getting very old, that is why after winning the 2014 elections, Rahul Gandhi should be presented as the Prime Minister. But Rahul Gandhi himself doesn’t want to be the Prime Minister.
According to our investigation, Rahul Gandhi wants to spend the maximum time with his mother abroad and in India. Sonia Gandhi’s health is bad, but not so bad that it immediately raises fears of some unfortunate happening taking place.
But the remaining 10-15-20 years of Sonia Gandhi’s life should be such that Rahul can stay with his mother, this kind of desire has filtered out of the windows of 10 Janpath. Rahul Gandhi himself told Priyanka Gandhi to come forward and take the command of the Congress Party in her hands. Sonia Gandhi believes that Priyanka has got the guts with which she can herself run everything, but still she wants Rahul Gandhi should become the Prime Minister before Priyanka Gandhi.
The Central Intelligence Bureau (CIA) wants a different kind of political equation in India. Suites are permanently booked for the people who work for CIA in the Maurya Hotel and the Maurya Hotel in Delhi is the den of those people who work in India in the name of weapons companies and who are lobbying for the CIA in this country. Cabinet Ministers can be seen coming and going there openly.
One big question that is arising is that the Central Government whose leader is Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, who has become the centre point of scams, is also being adjudged as a Prime Minister who never makes any decision. The foreign media which projected Manmohan Singh up till now as the creator of Hindustan’s fortunes or the ‘Saviour’ has suddenly turned against him. That very media has suddenly turned against Manmohan Singh. There is not enough strength left in the Bharatiya Janata Party they can even make an attempt to remove Manmohan Singh. The irony of the Bharatiya Janata Party is much bigger than this. They don’t take any step without the advice of the Congress Party and they take such steps that will help the Congress Party. It is easiest for Rahul Gandhi to become the Prime Minister now because the main Opposition party wants to see Rahul Gandhi as the Prime Minister in place of Manmohan Singh and also don’t want to create any kind of obstacles. Then why is Rahul Gandhi not able to become the Prime Minister?
At the root of this is said to be a “powerful” Manmohan Singh. For forms sake, Sonia Gandhi is the Chairperson of the Congress Party and only she makes all the decisions. But the truth is totally different. Sonia Gandhi cannot say anything on meeting Manmohan Singh, she writes letters, Manmohan Singh does not agree with those letters and Manmohan Singh is running the Government with his own mind in a planned strategy. All the strategies of Manmohan Singh want to make Hindustan a completely loyal soldier of America. Manmohan Singh is moving step by step.
How beneficial the mid-term elections will prove to be for the strategies of the Congress Party can’t be said. But for now the Congress has kept Mulayam Singh at a distance from itself. There is now no such strategy of the Congress in which, if in the coming Budget Session, any kind of cut motion is brought or any kind of no confidence motion is brought, or any situation develops in which they face defeat on the Finance Bill then they will try not to protect themselves. In such a situation Mulayam Singh Yadav and Mamata Banerjee combined will be enough to remove the Congress Party from power. But even after a defeat in the Lok Sabha Elections or after voluntary retirement of the Prime Minister, the caretaker Prime Minister will surely be from the Congress Party and it will be Manmohan Singh. Manmohan Singh also wants that the country should move towards elections, that is why without caring about the people he suddenly increased the rate of diesel by five rupees. It is the strategy of the Congress Party that just before the Budget Session they will again increase the rates of diesel, so that parties allied with it go further away from it and help in bringing about the Government’s fall.
Nitish Kumar is among those few non-BJP and non-Congress leaders who the people believe is eligible for the post of the Prime Minster. If circumstances make him the Prime Minister, then his first priority will be Bihar, second priority will be Bihar and the third priority will also be Bihar.
The Congress will fight the coming Lok Sabha Elections alone. The alliance of the UPA is only limited to running the Government, it is not for the elections, this is clear in the minds of the Congress. But still there is a little doubt in the minds of the allies of the UPA and also in the minds of the parties who are supporting it from outside. They want to make some adjustments with the Congress and fight the elections, whereas the Congress Party is not at all ready for this.
The Congress Party knows that right now there is no widely respected leader in the Bharatiya Janata Party. How much the Bharatiya Janata Party believes in its capability to fight in elections or how much solidarity it will show in facing them cannot be said right now. Till the elections are announced, until then Narendra Modi will keep polishing his image as the strongest contender for the Prime Minister’s post. But perhaps the Bharatiya Janata Party is thinking of another person as suitable for the Lok Sabha
leadership, in that case several factions are working in the Bharatiya Janata Party. Those like Jaswant Singh, Yashwant Sinha, Shatrughan Sinha form one group. Nitin Gadkari’s is the second group. Advaniji’s is the third group and Narendra Modi’s is the fourth group. The leaders from the South are in these groups, sometimes they are with one group and sometimes with another. The BJP believes that Advaniji is a sulky leader. People go to meet Advaniji, talk to him, but do not ask for his advice. Although in the country Lal Krishna Advani still has a bigger reputation than the reputation of the Bharatiya Janata Party. But not only the Sangh (RSS), but the second and third rung leaders of the BJP are also not standing by the eminence of Advaniji now.
Before the mid-term elections, based on calculations from our information, a big break-up will occur in the BJP. Who will be the ‘sutradhar’ (stage manager) of that break-up and who will be the leader of that break-up – the answer to this question will be found in the next three months. But the decision has been taken that the Bharatiya Janata Party should be broken up on the basis of principles. Nitish Kumar does not have the courage to roam around the whole country and lead the country by parting from the BJP. Although Nitish Kumar is among those few non-BJP and non-Congress leaders who the people believe is eligible for the post of the Prime Minster. If circumstances make him the Prime Minister, then his first priority will be Bihar, second priority will be Bihar and the third priority will also be Bihar.
The combined strength of Anna Hazare, Baba Ramdev and General (Retd) V.K. Singh is enough to destroy any political equation and if these three travel across the country and if they get the people’s support, then it might herald a new type of Janata Dal or a new type of National Front.
In the last Legislative Assembly Elections, Mulayam Singh Yadav has emerged as the biggest power in Uttar Pradesh. Mulayam Singh Yadav has kept himself ‘free’ for Delhi because he felt that the time has come when he should present himself as a contender and he even made this presentation. Within a few days of his presenting himself as a contender, news emerged that his son and the Chief Minister of Uttar Pradesh, Akhilesh Yadav, said that if you (Mulayam Singh) present yourself as a contender now then the Central Government will not provide the package for Uttar Pradesh and they will become unsuccessful. That is why Mulayam Singh withdrew his bid by making some ambiguous statements.
But Mulayam Singh is a strong candidate for the Prime Minister’s post for the non-BJP and the non-Congress Parties. It is also from Uttar Pradesh that Mayawati has emerged in the form of the second biggest power . Even though she lost the Legislative Assembly Elections in Uttar Pradesh, she believes that the way in which question marks have arisen about the credibility of the Government, she will definitely benefit in the Lok Sabha Elections. Mayawati will not make any compromises with anybody and will fight elections alone in Uttar Pradesh and she believes that she will win 30-35 seats and winning the same number of seats is also Mulayam Singh Yadav’s estimate.
But ultimately who will be the winner of the Prime Minister’s post and after seeing whose face the people will vote, the answer to this question is currently not available with anyone.
Apart from these political parties, General V.K. Singh, Anna Hazare and Baba Ramdev cannot be ignored. General (Retd) V.K Singh has travelled to different places in the country and got overwhelming support from the common people. According to estimation, if General (Retd) V.K. Singh, Anna Hazare and Baba Ramdev, the three of them together undertake election campaigns then a possibility of unprecedented awareness and a new alternative might be created in the country. Anna Hazare still has huge credibility in this country. But Anna Hazare does not want to make a political party and under his pressure, in the matter of forming a political party, Arvind Kejriwal and Prashant Bhusan have adopted a silent strategy. Although the news is that these people have started the proceedings for forming a party. The organisation of Baba Ramdev is spread over almost 400 districts of the country. General (Retd) V.K. Singh has emerged with such a face which is untainted, spotless and whose understanding is like that of a moderate Leftist leader. The combined strength of these three persons is enough to destroy any political equation and if these three travel across the country and if they get the people’s support, then it might herald a new type of Janata Dal or a new type of National Front.
That is why the next elections of India will be worth seeing, in which Mukesh Ambani, Anil Ambani, Ratan Tata, Kumaramangalam Birla and other small capitalists like those of the Sancheti group, Anshuman Mishra group, groups which are in trouble due to the 2G and Coal Scam, will try to play their role. The Central Intelligence Bureau (CIA) wants a different kind of political equation in India. Suites are permanently booked for the people who work for CIA in the Maurya Hotel and the Maurya Hotel in Delhi is the den of those people who work in India in the name of weapons companies and who are lobbying for the CIA in this country. Cabinet Ministers can be seen coming and going there openly, sitting in the suites doing various activities, many people have been seen. The Opposition leaders are also involved in this. My guess is that CIA has got their photos, CDs, due to which they cannot come out of the grip of the CIA.
If we analyse the coming mid-term elections, if we term it as mid-term or an election which is going to happen one year before the scheduled time, then it seems that the willpower for making the Government is neither present in the BJP nor in the Congress. It is present in those parties who are non-Congress and non-BJP; they are the ones who want to make the Government. But a big problem of convincing the people of the country has arisen before them. Whenever the non-Congress and the BJP have met each other, they have had more break ups, unity was less. But whenever they went with the leadership of Atalji, Narasimha Rao or the leadership of Manmohan Singh, they led a life of ideal servitude. In between all these, the plight of the economy of Hindustan, inflation in Hindustan, corruption in Hindustan, education in Hindustan and health are creating anger in the minds of the people and it seems to the people that this system is failing and if anybody has directly got advantage from this in the country then it is the Naxalites. In the coming mid-term elections, the combined energy of the Naxalites cannot be ignored. But it is clear that in between the coming March and June, mid-term elections are going to be held in the country, for which the decision has already been taken.